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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 13 October 21
FBX INDEX: THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF SHORT-TERM FORECASTING - LARS JENSEN
Will freight rates on Asia-Europe or the Transpacific reach 40.000 USD/FFE in the run-up prior to Chinese New Year 2022? Or will they start droppin ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA FLOODS: COAL PRICE HITS FRESH HIGH AS MINES SHUT - BBC
The price of coal used in China’s power plants has surged to a new record high as another of the country’s key mining regions is hit by ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
BUMA SIGNS CONDITIONAL AGREEMENT FOR AUSTRALIAN ASSET ACQUISITION
PT Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, through its newly incorporated Australian subsidiary, BUMA International Pty ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
INDONESIA'S COAL-BASED POWER PLANTS ARE SUBJECT TO CARBON TAX NEXT YEAR, ELECTRICITY COSTS COULD RISE! - CNBC
The Indonesian government is planning plans to implement a carbon tax of IDR 30 per kilogram (kg) of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) or equivalent ...
Monday, 11 October 21
COAL ABANDONMENT IN POWER GENERATION PROMOTED GAS DEMAND GROWTH IN EUROPE - TOP MANAGER: TASS
Accelerated abandonment of coal in power generation and the overall recovery of economic activity facilitated gas demand growth in Europe and led t ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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