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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 16 October 21
COAL IS 'KING' AS GAS PRICES SOAR, TOTAL CEO SAYS - AND IT’S BACKFIRING ON CLEANER ENERGY GOALS - CNBC
Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grap ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
VIETNAM'S COAL-FIRED POWER MAY DOUBLE BY 2030 UNDER DRAFT ENERGY PLAN - REUTERS
Vietnam may double the amount of coal-fired electric generation it installs by 2030 under a draft power development plan submitted to the prime min ...
Friday, 15 October 21
AUSTRALIA'S WHITEHAVEN EXPECTS TO BE DEBT-FREE NEXT YEAR AS COAL PRICES SOAR - REUTERS
Australia’s Whitehaven Coal WHC.AX said on Thursday it expects to be debt-free by early 2022, as thermal coal prices surge to record highs on ...
Friday, 15 October 21
WINTER CHILL KEEPS CHINA'S COAL PRICES HIGH, POWER CRUNCH STOKES INFLATION - REUTERS
China coal prices held near record highs on Thursday as cold weather swept into the country’s north and power plants stocked up on the fuel t ...
Friday, 15 October 21
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND GROWTH DOWNGRADED FOR 2021 DUE TO CHINA - WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released an update of its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that ste ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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