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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principl ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
SPONGE IRON SECTOR MIGHT REPORT NEGATIVE GROWTH DUE TO COAL CRISIS: SIMA - PTI
The domestic sponge iron industry might report a negative growth in the ongoing December quarter “if the shortage of coal is allowed to conti ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
COAL INDIA, THE FALL GUY FOR POWER CRISIS - INDIA EXPRESS
The post-Covid economic recovery has led to a major increase in the demand for power, both in India and globally. In India, coal-based power plants ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
SOLAR INSTALLATION SURGE PUTS INDIA ON TRACK TO CAP COAL-FIRED POWER AS EARLY AS 2024 - IEEFA
Recent increase in solar power installations could push coal to peak sooner than expected
If India keeps installing solar capacity a ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
DESPITE HIGHER COAL PRICES, U.S. COAL RECOVERY LOOKS WEAK BY MOST MEASURES - IEEFA
U.S. coal sector is locked into a long-term sectoral decline
Coal prices have surged to the highest level in years in the U.S., and have soare ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- PTC India Limited - India
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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