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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply
- Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA COAL HITS RECORD HIGH AMID TIGHT SUPPLIES - REUTERS
China coal prices hit a record high on Tuesday buoyed by a widening power crunch and cold weather despite Beijing’s efforts to bolster supply ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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