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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply
- Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA COAL HITS RECORD HIGH AMID TIGHT SUPPLIES - REUTERS
China coal prices hit a record high on Tuesday buoyed by a widening power crunch and cold weather despite Beijing’s efforts to bolster supply ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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