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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA VOWS TO SEVERELY PUNISH MARKET VIOLATIONS AMID LOW COAL FUTURES PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Domestic coal futures had plunged for three consecutive trading days after the government vowed to crack down on soaring prices, and China’s ...
Monday, 25 October 21
FARMERS MAY JOIN THE COAL COMMODITY MARKET TO REDUCE RISKS - GLOBAL TIMES
A recent trip to by the Global Times to East China’s Shandong Province to get a glimpse of China’s coal supply chain revealed a surpris ...
Monday, 25 October 21
CHINA COAL PRICES MARK WORST WEEK SINCE MAY ON GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures plunged on Friday and turned in their worst week in five months, following Beijing’s strongest interventio ...
Friday, 22 October 21
THE BIG PICTURE: ENERGY MARKETS - BREAK WAVE ADVISORS
The shipping markets have been pulled further into wild markets of coal and other energy sources. Given how nebulous this sector is, it’s alw ...
Friday, 22 October 21
CHINA WANTS TO COOL COAL PRICES. SIMILAR MOVES FOR METALS, CRUDE FAILED - REUTERS
China’s latest attempt to lower runaway commodity prices, this time for thermal coal, is likely to follow a familiar pattern of initial succe ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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