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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 30 October 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES SEE BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL IN MORE THAN 5 YEARS - REUTERS
China’s coal futures prices saw their biggest fall in more than five years after the powerful state planner said there is still room to adjus ...
Saturday, 30 October 21
G-20 LEADERS PREPARE STATEMENT TO STOP FUNDING FOREIGN COAL PLANTS - BLOOMBERG
Leaders of the Group of 20 wealthy economies are preparing to pledge to stop funding foreign coal-fired plants, but are still wrangling over climat ...
Friday, 29 October 21
APAC THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO REMAIN TIGHT AS WINTER LOOMS - FITCH RATINGS
APAC thermal coal prices have surged, hitting historically high levels. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal reached USD228/tonne in mid ...
Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications ...
Tuesday, 26 October 21
CHINA'S COAL-RICH SHANXI BEEFS UP COAL PRODUCTION - XINHUA
Major coal producers in north China’s Shanxi Province, a leading coal-producing region of the country, have beefed up production to ensure en ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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