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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 30 October 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES SEE BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL IN MORE THAN 5 YEARS - REUTERS
China’s coal futures prices saw their biggest fall in more than five years after the powerful state planner said there is still room to adjus ...
Saturday, 30 October 21
G-20 LEADERS PREPARE STATEMENT TO STOP FUNDING FOREIGN COAL PLANTS - BLOOMBERG
Leaders of the Group of 20 wealthy economies are preparing to pledge to stop funding foreign coal-fired plants, but are still wrangling over climat ...
Friday, 29 October 21
APAC THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO REMAIN TIGHT AS WINTER LOOMS - FITCH RATINGS
APAC thermal coal prices have surged, hitting historically high levels. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal reached USD228/tonne in mid ...
Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications ...
Tuesday, 26 October 21
CHINA'S COAL-RICH SHANXI BEEFS UP COAL PRODUCTION - XINHUA
Major coal producers in north China’s Shanxi Province, a leading coal-producing region of the country, have beefed up production to ensure en ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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