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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA TO LAUNCH NEW DATA MONITORING SYSTEM, TARGETING COAL MARKET SPECULATION, HOARDING - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner announced on Sunday a new data system for supervising the implementation of medium- and long-term contracts of c ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA’S STATE PLANNER SAYS COAL SUPPLY IMPROVING, PRICES STABILISING - REUTERS
China’s coal supply situation has seen significant improvement with joint efforts from coal producers, logistics and downstream users, while ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
HIGHER COKING COAL PRICES TO PARE PROFITABILITY OF STEELMAKERS IN SECOND HALF OF FY22 - CRISIL RATINGS
The operating margin of primary steelmakers will reduce by a third to 24-26% in the second half of this fiscal versus the first half as input cost ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
November is here and soon the all time seasonal favorite “all I want or Christmas is you” by Mariah Carey will be played in radio stati ...
Monday, 01 November 21
COAL PRICES HAVE FURTHER ROOM TO DROP: TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner said coal prices have further room to drop on Friday, as the most traded coal futures dropped to below 1,000 yua ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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