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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA TO LAUNCH NEW DATA MONITORING SYSTEM, TARGETING COAL MARKET SPECULATION, HOARDING - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner announced on Sunday a new data system for supervising the implementation of medium- and long-term contracts of c ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA’S STATE PLANNER SAYS COAL SUPPLY IMPROVING, PRICES STABILISING - REUTERS
China’s coal supply situation has seen significant improvement with joint efforts from coal producers, logistics and downstream users, while ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
HIGHER COKING COAL PRICES TO PARE PROFITABILITY OF STEELMAKERS IN SECOND HALF OF FY22 - CRISIL RATINGS
The operating margin of primary steelmakers will reduce by a third to 24-26% in the second half of this fiscal versus the first half as input cost ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
November is here and soon the all time seasonal favorite “all I want or Christmas is you” by Mariah Carey will be played in radio stati ...
Monday, 01 November 21
COAL PRICES HAVE FURTHER ROOM TO DROP: TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner said coal prices have further room to drop on Friday, as the most traded coal futures dropped to below 1,000 yua ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
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