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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 16 November 21
CHINA'S MONTHLY COAL OUTPUT RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2015 - REUTERS
China’s October coal output rose to the highest since at least March 2015, after Beijing approved a raft of coal mine expansions to tame reco ...
Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Dre ...
Friday, 12 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Friday, 12 November 21
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE TOPS $215 A TON; THE HIGHEST COAL PRICE IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second half of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $215.01 in November 2021 ...
Thursday, 11 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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