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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 16 November 21
CHINA'S MONTHLY COAL OUTPUT RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2015 - REUTERS
China’s October coal output rose to the highest since at least March 2015, after Beijing approved a raft of coal mine expansions to tame reco ...
Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Dre ...
Friday, 12 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Friday, 12 November 21
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE TOPS $215 A TON; THE HIGHEST COAL PRICE IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second half of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $215.01 in November 2021 ...
Thursday, 11 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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