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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...
Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...
Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL USE FOR POWER GENERATION SET TO RISE 3% - REUTERS
Indonesia’s coal consumption for power generation is likely to rise by 3.1% next year compared to 2021, the head of the country’s state ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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