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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...
Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...
Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL USE FOR POWER GENERATION SET TO RISE 3% - REUTERS
Indonesia’s coal consumption for power generation is likely to rise by 3.1% next year compared to 2021, the head of the country’s state ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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