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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 25 November 21
SE ASIA POWER DEMAND TO RISE AS STATE SUPPORT MITIGATES COVID-19 IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
Electricity demand in south-east Asia is likely to increase in 2021, following slow growth or contraction in 2020, thanks to state support that has ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
FITCH RATINGS INCREASES MOST GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has increased most metals and mining price assumptions, particularly those that benefit from increased longer-term demand due to glob ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICE DROPS IN MID-NOVEMBER AMID GOVERNMENT’S SWEEPING MEASURES - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s coal prices have dropped significantly in mid-November compared with the beginning of the month, with the price of coking coal and co ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Inflation is the word that has dominated the meetings of foreign leaders and finance ministers in recent weeks, as rising energy costs, supply chai ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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