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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the conte ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER SUMMONS COAL PRODUCERS; LONG-TERM PRICING MECHANISM IS ADVISED - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Monday that they summoned coal producers for a hea ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES PLUNGE AFTER GOVT SIGNALS MORE PRICE REGULATION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures dropped 5.6% on Monday after the state economic planner signaled further regulations for prices of the dirty pow ...
Friday, 26 November 21
AS COAL MARKET STABILIZES, CHINA STEPS UP NATURAL GAS SUPPLY TO MEET WINTER DEMAND - GLOBAL TIMES
The daily supply of natural gas in China has exceeded 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) since November began, up 11 percent year-on-year, data from stat ...
Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
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