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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the conte ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER SUMMONS COAL PRODUCERS; LONG-TERM PRICING MECHANISM IS ADVISED - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Monday that they summoned coal producers for a hea ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES PLUNGE AFTER GOVT SIGNALS MORE PRICE REGULATION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures dropped 5.6% on Monday after the state economic planner signaled further regulations for prices of the dirty pow ...
Friday, 26 November 21
AS COAL MARKET STABILIZES, CHINA STEPS UP NATURAL GAS SUPPLY TO MEET WINTER DEMAND - GLOBAL TIMES
The daily supply of natural gas in China has exceeded 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) since November began, up 11 percent year-on-year, data from stat ...
Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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