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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL FIRMS SEE SHARE PRICES SURGE MONDAY, AFTER GOVERNMENT READJUSTS CONTRACT PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Share prices of China’s coal enterprises jumped on Monday on the A-share market following a nationwide adjustment to annual thermal coal pric ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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