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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL FIRMS SEE SHARE PRICES SURGE MONDAY, AFTER GOVERNMENT READJUSTS CONTRACT PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Share prices of China’s coal enterprises jumped on Monday on the A-share market following a nationwide adjustment to annual thermal coal pric ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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