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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 23 December 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL OUTPUT SEEN BETWEEN 637 MLN-664 MLN T- OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia’s 2022 coal output is estimated at between 637 million to 664 million tonnes based on production plans currently being finalised, s ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
VALE ANNOUNCES THE SALE OF ITS COAL ASSETS
Vale informs that, on this date, it has entered into a binding agreement with Vulcan to sell the Moatize coal mine and the Nacala Logistics Corrido ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDIA: CAPTIVE POWER PRODUCERS URGE GOVT TO ENSURE NORMAL COAL SUPPLIES - PTI
A captive power producers’ association has urged the government for 100 per cent normalisation of coal supply to captive power producers whil ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As an outstanding year for the dry bulk freight market comes to a close, so does a thriving year for the SnP market which can only be compared to 2 ...
Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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