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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 23 December 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL OUTPUT SEEN BETWEEN 637 MLN-664 MLN T- OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia’s 2022 coal output is estimated at between 637 million to 664 million tonnes based on production plans currently being finalised, s ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
VALE ANNOUNCES THE SALE OF ITS COAL ASSETS
Vale informs that, on this date, it has entered into a binding agreement with Vulcan to sell the Moatize coal mine and the Nacala Logistics Corrido ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDIA: CAPTIVE POWER PRODUCERS URGE GOVT TO ENSURE NORMAL COAL SUPPLIES - PTI
A captive power producers’ association has urged the government for 100 per cent normalisation of coal supply to captive power producers whil ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As an outstanding year for the dry bulk freight market comes to a close, so does a thriving year for the SnP market which can only be compared to 2 ...
Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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