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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Monday, 06 December 21
CHINA SETS 2022 ANNUAL THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 700 YUAN/T - MEDIA: REUTERS
China’s top economic planner has proposed to set annual thermal coal prices for 2022 at between 550 yuan and 850 yuan ($86-$133) per tonne, a ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
BUMI RECORDED US$ 666.18 MILLION AS REVENUE IN THE 3RD QUARTER, UP 13.31% YOY
PT Bumi Resources Tbk and its subsidiaries have recorded a surge in revenue in the third quarter of 2021. BUMI has recorded US$ 666.18 million as r ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
CHINA'S COAL CRUNCH IS OVER, BUT PRICES ARE STILL TOO HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal crisis has largely been resolved with gains in both production and stockpiles sufficient to ensure power supplies over winter.
...
Wednesday, 01 December 21
2022 OUTLOOK: INDONESIAN COAL MINING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has a neutral outlook on the Indonesian coal sector for 2022.
Earnings generation should slow down as selling pr ...
Wednesday, 01 December 21
SUPPLY OF COAL TO POWER PLANTS IN NOV MORE THAN CONSUMPTION: JOSHI - PTI
The supply of coal to power plants in November is more than the consumption, resulting in rise in stock of dry fuel at power plants, and this trend ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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