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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Monday, 06 December 21
CHINA SETS 2022 ANNUAL THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 700 YUAN/T - MEDIA: REUTERS
China’s top economic planner has proposed to set annual thermal coal prices for 2022 at between 550 yuan and 850 yuan ($86-$133) per tonne, a ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
BUMI RECORDED US$ 666.18 MILLION AS REVENUE IN THE 3RD QUARTER, UP 13.31% YOY
PT Bumi Resources Tbk and its subsidiaries have recorded a surge in revenue in the third quarter of 2021. BUMI has recorded US$ 666.18 million as r ...
Thursday, 02 December 21
CHINA'S COAL CRUNCH IS OVER, BUT PRICES ARE STILL TOO HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal crisis has largely been resolved with gains in both production and stockpiles sufficient to ensure power supplies over winter.
...
Wednesday, 01 December 21
2022 OUTLOOK: INDONESIAN COAL MINING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has a neutral outlook on the Indonesian coal sector for 2022.
Earnings generation should slow down as selling pr ...
Wednesday, 01 December 21
SUPPLY OF COAL TO POWER PLANTS IN NOV MORE THAN CONSUMPTION: JOSHI - PTI
The supply of coal to power plants in November is more than the consumption, resulting in rise in stock of dry fuel at power plants, and this trend ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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