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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 20 January 22
CHINESE COAL JUMPS OVER 6% ON PRE-HOLIDAY SUPPLY WORRY - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures soared more than 6% on Wednesday, hitting a level last seen in late November as investors grew concerned over ti ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
VIETNAM: COAL SECTOR SEES POSITIVE PROSPECT IN 2022 - VNA
With many signs of rising demand for coal in various economic sectors in 2022, the Vietnam National Coal – Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomi ...
Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels ...
Sunday, 09 January 22
INDONESIA MINISTER SAYS 'EMERGENCY OVER' ON COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH - REUTERS
Indonesia’s power emergency which has triggered a coal export ban is over but the government will still continue to discuss policies in this ...
Wednesday, 05 January 22
CHINA COAL FUTURES SURGE ON SUPPLY WORRIES AMID INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures surged by as much as 7.8per cent to kick off 2022 on concerns of supply disruptions after Indonesia, its biggest ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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