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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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