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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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