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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 02 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
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Monday, 31 January 22
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What does it mean for power generation and energy security?
Not long ago, India faced coal shortages due to a decline in domestic co ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
AIR PRODUCTS' COAL GASIFICATION PROPOSAL TRIGGERS LOOMING POLICY DISPUTES IN INDONESIA - IEEFA
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Sunday, 30 January 22
ENDGAME FOR NEW COAL POWER PROJECTS? - IEEFA INDIA
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Reportedly, an expert committee appointed by th ...
Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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