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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 02 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Oil prices have rallied to the highest level since October 2014 breaking above $90/bbl recently. November 2014 was the point when OPEC unleashed pr ...
Monday, 31 January 22
HOW INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT BAN COULD IMPACT INDIA - IEEFA
What does it mean for power generation and energy security?
Not long ago, India faced coal shortages due to a decline in domestic co ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
AIR PRODUCTS' COAL GASIFICATION PROPOSAL TRIGGERS LOOMING POLICY DISPUTES IN INDONESIA - IEEFA
Plan to substitute Indonesia’s LPG imports with dimethyl ether may be hard to realize due to conflicting business interests
In ...
Sunday, 30 January 22
ENDGAME FOR NEW COAL POWER PROJECTS? - IEEFA INDIA
Retired coal units must be replaced only by assets that can provide grid flexibility
Reportedly, an expert committee appointed by th ...
Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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