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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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