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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
Friday, 04 February 22
RENEWABLES ON THE RISE, COAL CONTINUOUSLY FALLING - EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Although oil (34.5%) and natural gas (23.7%) were still the most important fuel sources in the EU energy mix in 2020, renewable energy’s shar ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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