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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 03 February 22
COAL SHORTAGE NOW AT ALARMING LEVELS, SAY ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS - IANS
With no relief in sight despite coal stocks running critically low and production disruptions looming across the Indian aluminium sector, the Alumi ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
HIGH COKING COAL PRICES PROVIDE GLIMPSE INTO STEELMAKING'S FUTURE - MCKINSEY
Last year was a volatile one in global commodity markets. Demand for coking coal, an essential raw material in the production of steel, was extreme ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
INDONESIA'S RESTRICTIONS ON COMMODITIES RATTLE MARKETS, MORE MOVES LIKELY - REUTERS
In just the first month of this year, Indonesian policymakers have rattled global markets with restrictions on some of its biggest commodities expo ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
CHINA'S TOP COAL PRODUCER FORECASTS 28 PCT PROFIT GROWTH IN 2021 - XINHUA
China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, one of the country’s biggest coal producers, said its net profits are expected to jump by 28 percent in ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
COAL STORAGE IN CHINA’S POWER PLANTS NEAR RECORD HIGHS - XINHUA
Coal inflows into China’s power plants have picked up, bringing their coal storage to near record highs, the National Development and Reform ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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