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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 03 February 22
COAL SHORTAGE NOW AT ALARMING LEVELS, SAY ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS - IANS
With no relief in sight despite coal stocks running critically low and production disruptions looming across the Indian aluminium sector, the Alumi ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
HIGH COKING COAL PRICES PROVIDE GLIMPSE INTO STEELMAKING'S FUTURE - MCKINSEY
Last year was a volatile one in global commodity markets. Demand for coking coal, an essential raw material in the production of steel, was extreme ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
INDONESIA'S RESTRICTIONS ON COMMODITIES RATTLE MARKETS, MORE MOVES LIKELY - REUTERS
In just the first month of this year, Indonesian policymakers have rattled global markets with restrictions on some of its biggest commodities expo ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
CHINA'S TOP COAL PRODUCER FORECASTS 28 PCT PROFIT GROWTH IN 2021 - XINHUA
China Shenhua Energy Company Limited, one of the country’s biggest coal producers, said its net profits are expected to jump by 28 percent in ...
Wednesday, 02 February 22
COAL STORAGE IN CHINA’S POWER PLANTS NEAR RECORD HIGHS - XINHUA
Coal inflows into China’s power plants have picked up, bringing their coal storage to near record highs, the National Development and Reform ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
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