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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 09 November 21
ASIA-PACIFIC IS HOME TO SOME OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST CARBON-EMITTERS - 2 CHARTS SHOW ITS RELIANCE ON COAL - CNBC
Asia-Pacific is home to some of the world’s largest carbon emitters — and experts say much of global efforts to fight climate change de ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
CHINA DAILY COAL OUTPUT HITS MULTI-YEAR PEAK, PRICES EXPECTED TO FALL - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output hit 11.93 million tonnes last week, a multi-year high as more capacity returned to operation, the state planner sai ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA'S COAL MARKET SEES SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner has declared initial success in its efforts to ensure coal supply and stabilize prices, saying that daily coal o ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA THERMAL COAL PRICES RISE AFTER FALLING FOR 10 DAYS - REUTERS
China thermal coal futures rebounded on Wednesday after falling for 10 days on an expected jump in fuel demand to meet heating needs amid forecasts ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
FASTER DECARBONISATION: BACK TO BASICS FOR THE MINING INDUSTRY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
To the uninitiated, rugby is a technical and complicated game. As young schoolboys it was all a wee bit confusing and we invariably ended up on the ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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