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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 09 November 21
ASIA-PACIFIC IS HOME TO SOME OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST CARBON-EMITTERS - 2 CHARTS SHOW ITS RELIANCE ON COAL - CNBC
Asia-Pacific is home to some of the world’s largest carbon emitters — and experts say much of global efforts to fight climate change de ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
CHINA DAILY COAL OUTPUT HITS MULTI-YEAR PEAK, PRICES EXPECTED TO FALL - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output hit 11.93 million tonnes last week, a multi-year high as more capacity returned to operation, the state planner sai ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA'S COAL MARKET SEES SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner has declared initial success in its efforts to ensure coal supply and stabilize prices, saying that daily coal o ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA THERMAL COAL PRICES RISE AFTER FALLING FOR 10 DAYS - REUTERS
China thermal coal futures rebounded on Wednesday after falling for 10 days on an expected jump in fuel demand to meet heating needs amid forecasts ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
FASTER DECARBONISATION: BACK TO BASICS FOR THE MINING INDUSTRY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
To the uninitiated, rugby is a technical and complicated game. As young schoolboys it was all a wee bit confusing and we invariably ended up on the ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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