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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 14 October 21
SPIKING COAL PRICES: DON’T BLAME THE ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Volatility highlights urgency for renewables-based energy solutions
“Energy crisis.” The phrase evokes nearly-forgotten ...
Thursday, 14 October 21
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 588 MMST IN 2021, UP 53 MMST YOY
U.S. coal production in EIA's forecasts totals 588 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 53 MMst more than in 2020.
According ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
COAL PRICES ARE ROARING BACK AMID A GLOBAL ENERGY CRUNCH - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Soaring coal prices have placed Australia’s mining and energy exports on track to reach a record $349 billion this year evenas the value of t ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA ISN'T THE ONLY HUGE ASIAN ECONOMY WITH A COAL SHORTAGE NOW - CNBC
China is not the only Asian giant grappling with an energy crunch — India is also teetering on the edge of a power crisis.
Mos ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following up on our insight on May 2021, where we discussed about the Capesize market outlook for the second half of the year, we are pleased to se ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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