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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 09 October 21
CHINA POWER CUTS: COAL MINERS ORDERED TO BOOST OUTPUT, SAY REPORTS - BBC
Beijing has reportedly ordered China’s coal mines to boost output as an energy shortage across the country has seen millions of homes and bus ...
Friday, 08 October 21
SEPTEMBER CRUDE OIL TANKER DEMOLISHING HITS 39-MONTHS HIGH AT 1.9M DWT - PETER SAND
Has the lid finally come off for crude oil tanker demolition in 2021? If judged by the 1.9m DWT of capacity that was removed in September, the answ ...
Friday, 08 October 21
COAL SHORTAGE MAY LEAD TO RISE IN STEEL PRICES IN COMING MONTHS: JSPL MD - PTI
Steel prices are expected to increase in the coming months as companies are buying coal at three times the rates a month ago, said a top industry e ...
Wednesday, 06 October 21
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE: ANOTHER MONTH, ANOTHER RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second and third quarters of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $161.63 Oc ...
Wednesday, 06 October 21
EUROPEAN COAL FUTURES CLIMB TO 13-YEAR PEAK - REUTERS
European coal futures rose to a 13-year high and physical thermal coal prices were at record highs as rallying gas prices and strong Asian demand f ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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