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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 05 October 21
CAPESIZE MARKET WAS IN A STEEP CLIMB FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
The Capesize market was in a steep climb for most of this week as it reached a pinnacle of $74,786 Wednesday before stalling, regather ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
THE WRITING IS ON THE WALL: AUSTRALIA’S COAL ERA IS OVER - YAHOO!FINANCE
As the fringe of Australian politics strives to pump up the coal industry, facts show that coal production has started its long run decline.
&n ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
SURGING COAL PRICES SPLIT ASIAN BUYERS INTO RICH AND POOR - REUTERS
As seaborne coal in Asia trades at, or near, record highs, there are early signs of demand destruction, especially among price-sensitive buyers suc ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker Asset values have surprised to the upside, despite the downward pressure on the freight market. Tanker rates have been hovering close to the ...
Tuesday, 28 September 21
THE MAIDEN EDITION OF DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021 CONCLUDES SUCCESSFULLY
Press Release: DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021, a one-day conference on the recent technological advancements in the Industrial Diving industry conclud ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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