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Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS; THERMAL OUTPUT STRONG - FITCH RATINGS
 Rising Consumption: Total power consumption rose by 21.2% yoy to 1,921.9GWh in 1Q21 due to the fast recovery of China’s economy, after a drop of 6.5% in 1Q20 when market demand was dampened by the Covid-19 outbreak. Demand from the industrial sector, the main driver of power consumption growth, surged by 23.9% yoy in 1Q21.Consumption from the tertiary sector and agricultural users also jumped by 28.2% and 26.4%, respectively, during the quarter, Fitch Ratings says in its latest report.
Demand Exceeds Pre-Covid-19Levels
Power demand gained 14.4% in 1Q21 from 1Q19, driven by the industrial sector’s 15.3% increase and the tertiary sector’s 16.5% gain. Demand from agricultural users, which accounted for only 1.1% of total demand, surged by 31.3%in 1Q21 from 1Q19, led by the upgrade of power grids in rural areas.
Higher Contribution from Tertiary Sector
The contribution of the tertiary sector to consumption rose to 17.3% in 1Q21, from 16.7% in 1Q20. Tertiary demand was marked by the rapid consumption growth of information and technology services, which jumped by 26.5% on average in the past two years due to the fast development of big data, cloud computing and internet of things sector. Demand from the charging and battery swapping industry shot up by 92.2% on average in 2019 and 2020, the result of faster growth in the new-energy vehicle sector.
Thermal Power Underpins Generation Growth
Power generation rose by 19% yoy in 1Q21, primarily driven by thermal power’s output increase of21.1%, accounting for 73% of total power supply, which was 7pp higher than 2020. This was because of the higher output from heating power co-generation thermal units, and lower wind and solar contribution in winter.
Fuel Mix Continues to Improve
The proportion of coal-fired power capacity in China’s fuel mix decreased to 48.8% in 1Q21, after dropping to below 50% for the first time byend-2020. Fitch Ratings expects the share to drop in 2021, as China is promoting renewable energy to achieve net zero emissions by 2060. China added 23.5GW in power capacity in 1Q21, 55% of which were non-fossil fuels, including 5.33GWin solar power capacity, a 56% yoy gain, and 5.26GW in wind power capacity, a 123% jump. China also added 1.15GW in nuclear power capacity and 1.09GW in hydropower capacity in 1Q21.
Improving Coal-Fired Power Plants’ Flexibility
The report further noted that, some provinces, such as Shandong, have extended the service life of some large and efficient coal-fired power units, which also supply heat and have met environmental protection requirements This will ensure a stable power supply as renew able energy is usually affected by the intermittent nature of its source.
Utilisation Hours Improved in1Q21
Utilisation hours (UH) rose by 97 to 915 in 1Q21 from 1Q19 as power demand recovered further. Wind power UH improved by 69 hours to 619 hours, while solar power UH increased to 300 hours, up by 10 hours from1Q19. Yunnan, Sichuan and Jiangsu were the top-three provinces with the highest wind UH, while north-east and north-west China had the highest solar UH.
Thermal and nuclear power UH surged by 165 and 218, respectively, from 1Q20 due to strong consumption growth, higher connection priority for heat-power co-generation in the heating season, and lower output of hydropower, whose UH fell by 21 as a result of lower water flow.
Thermal power capacity installation rose by 10.6GW in 1Q21, including 4.77GW coal-fired power and 2.95GW gas-fired power, some of which were used for peak shaving. We expect renewable energy to continue to drive China’s power capacity installation in the rest of 2021 as the state is pushing for renewable energy to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060.Generation capex in 1Q21amounted to CNY79.5 billion, including 49.4% in wind, solar and biomass, 30.8% in hydro and 9.7% in nuclear. Capex contribution from thermal power fell to 10.1% in 1Q21, from 10.5% in 2020, under the government’s restrictions on thermal power installations given the environmental ramifications.
High Coal Prices to Squeeze Power Generating Companies’ Profit
Coal production rose 16% yoy to 970 million tonnes in 1Q21, slower than the 22% growth of coal-fired power output, resulting in higher coal prices. The Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg coal price rose 72.6% yoy to CNY 801/tonne by end April-2021. High coal prices will squeeze power generating companies’ profit and operating cash flow, which will be worsened by a lower coal-fired power tariff due to higher market trading volume.
By: Ms.Zhihua Zhang | Ms. Diana Xia
Fitch Ratings, China
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
SEEING RED? - WOOD MACKENZIE
What a Republican mid-term victory could mean for US energy and climate policy
According to current polling the Republican Party has ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD HIGH IN JUNE - REUTERS
India's coal imports hit a record high in June despite high global prices, data from three trade sources and Refinitiv ship tracking showed, as ...
Thursday, 14 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE COAL IMPORTS SLUMP AS TRADERS SHUN EXPENSIVE OVERSEAS CARGOES - REUTERS
China’s coal imports fell 33% in June from a year ago, with traders turning down expensive overseas cargoes in favor of domestic ones with ca ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 2.79 MILLION TONS OF LOW TO MEDIUM COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1360k MT of Min.4400 kcal/kg NCV coal and Total 1 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 22
HAVE MINERS MISSED THE BOAT TO INVEST AND GET AHEAD OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Miners are in rude health, benefiting from economic stimuli, the post-pandemic recovery and associated supply constraints. Initially the Ukraine wa ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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