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Wednesday, 15 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 virus spread around the world has obviously impacted the global oil demand while the situation remains fluid. The overall constraints in travelling and broader economic activity have resulted in the decline of global oil demand. The existing turmoil does not allow market participants to come to safe conclusions on what the final impact in the economy and total oil demand will be.
On the global supply side, record output cuts from OPEC and deep declines from other non-OPEC producers saw global oil production deteriorating. Respectively, global oil output is calculated to increase by 1.7mb/d in 2021 subject to OPEC cuts and basis Norway’s and Brazil’s deliveries. On the other hand, USA supply is estimated to decrease by almost 1 mb/d in 2020 except if further investments arise for the shale industry. The global refinery intake was close to 69 mb/d up to the end of April and overall, down by 12 mb/d on y-o-y basis. Further to that, product stocks raised sharply with OECD recording increases of oil stocks close to 4.9 md/d in April while floating storage for crude oil fell in May. Moreover, OPEC decided in June to extend their output cut close to 10 mb/d throughout July focusing on rebalancing the market. Crude prices rose in May to the highest seen in the past three months as demand resumed and global supply fell strongly. Rising prices compressed products such as diesel, jet and kerosene due to the weak outlook for the aviation industry while freight rates plunged as OPEC cuts took effect.
While the oil market remains fragile, the recent recovery in oil prices implies that the first half of 2020 will end in a more positive outlook than expected. On the demand side, China’s exit from lockdown restrictions has resulted in a demand recovery in April touching 2019 levels. In addition, we have witnessed a strong boost in Indians demand in May, however it is still well below year-ago levels. In the second half of the year, easing of global lockdown measures should give a boost to the oil market. Even so, demand in 2020 is expected to be 8.1 mb/d lower compared to 2019, with the biggest declines being reported in the first half of the year.
The IEA has developed two scenarios on how global oil demand could evolve this year. In the more pessimistic scenario, global measures will fail to contain the virus, and global demand will fall by 730,000 b/d in 2020. In a more optimistic case, the virus is contained quickly around the world, and global demand will grow by 480,000 b/d. Covid-19 impact on oil markets may be temporary, but the longer-term challenges that suppliers will face are not going away, especially for those that are heavily dependent on both oil and gas revenues.
To sum up, as we are beyond the first half of 2020 and measures such as the OPEC agreement and the meeting of G20 energy ministers have provided a major contribution to the efforts for restoring stability to the market, if recent trends in production are maintained and demand does recover, the market will stabilize by the end of the second half. The short-term outlook for the oil market will ultimately depend on how quickly governments will move to contain the corona-virus outbreak, how successful their efforts will be, and what impact the global health crisis will have on economic growth.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 August 20
COAL INDIA TRADE UNIONS DEFER DAY-LONG STRIKE: PTI
The unions had decided to go on strike against the commercial mining and the proposed divestment or buyback of shares of Coal India Ltd (CIL).
...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
MISC MARKS ITS MAIDEN FORAY INTO MAJOR DEEP-WATER PROJECT IN LATIN AMERICA WITH MERO 3 FPSO
MISC Berhad (MISC) is pleased to announce its acceptance of Letter of Intent (LOI) from Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) for the provisi ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAIOS | INTERMODAL
Since the Covid-19 outbreak, governments and central banks around the globe have been using their ammunition and stimulus packages to keep their ec ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
INDIA SAW A SHARP DECLINE IN ENERGY COAL IMPORTS IN JANUARY - JUNE 2020; –27 PER CENT YOY - BHP
Energy coal prices were weak in the second half of financial year 2020, BHP says in its Economic and Commodity Outlook FY20.
Accordi ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
COAL PRICES TO REMAIN SUBDUED THIS FISCAL AMID WEAK DEMAND, HIGH INVENTORY - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Coal offtake is improving gradually as lockdown eases
Coal prices are expected to remain subdued to weak demand and high inventory l ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
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