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Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Impact on power and coal demand
Principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “India’s power demand has declined on average 30% year-on-year (yoy) and 25% week-on-week basis on 28 March. Demand from the industrial and commercial sectors are already falling. Load shape is moving to residential from industrial due to teleworking and home-schooling. We expect an average overall power demand decline of 35% until 14 April and a progressive recovery thereafter.
“Coal stocks at power plants and mines reached record highs of 40 million tonnes (Mt) and 60 Mt by 25 March, and many are already rejecting shipments from Coal India. This situation is due to lower thermal coal demand over the last 15 days and robust production in recent months.
“Movement of imported coal will be restricted due to constraints at ports and infrastructure. We expect the Force Majeure announced by port operators to have a limited impact on coal imports, as it is considered an ‘essential’ service.”
Impact on gas and LNG
Senior analyst Vidur Singhal said: “The transport and industrial sectors have been impacted. The average daily gas consumption across sectors stood at around 151 mmcm/d (million cubic metres per day) in 2019. We expect about 18-20% reduction in daily gas demand post lockdown. Also, demand from refineries and fertiliser plants, and anchor gas customers, have reduced in line with their utilisation rates with significant downside risk if the lockdown is extended.
“Gas aggregators are in a tight spot. LNG buyers declared Force Majeure once port operations stopped. Regas terminals were oversupplied heading into the lockdown as all major buyers procured low-priced spot volumes in advance. Even long-term LNG volumes are at risk as demand shrinks.”
Impact on oil products demand and refining
Research analyst Qiaoling Chen said: “We estimate that gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel demand will be down by 25%, 33%, and 13% yoy respectively in the second quarter while fuel oil, refinery gas demand will decline by 8%, 20% respectively at the same time.
“Overall, total demand is expected to decline by 871,000 barrels per day (b/d) (-17%) yoy in April. The negative impact is likely to last through Q2 2020 with most oil products returning to normal growth in the third quarter of this year except for jet fuel demand, which is expected to return to normal growth only in the first quarter of next year.”
On refining, research analyst Kendrick Ng said: “Refiners are reducing runs in response to lower oil products demand and weakness in refining margins. We estimate that the country will process about 800,000 b/d less crude in April, month-on-month basis, resulting in about 17% decline in the utilisation rate.
“Indian PSUs (public sector undertaking) are expected to be hurt the most amid tepid domestic demand, high storage level and lesser access to export markets, especially inland refineries.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 02 November 18
CHINA: COAL CONSUMPTION POSTS STRONG GROWTH ON BACK OF POWER GENERATION DEMAND - CHINA DAILY
China’s energy consumption experienced continuous rebound during the first three quarters in 2018, National Energy Administration announced o ...
Thursday, 01 November 18
IMO 2020 - EXPLORING THE OPTION OF SOX SCRUBBERS - SIDDHARTH MAHAJAN, GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
There are four possible methods of compliance:
1.use VLSFO (very low Sulphur oil) or blends;
2,use dis ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
INDIA: COAL IMPORTS SURGE ON DOMESTIC SHORT SUPPLY - HINDU
Shortage of thermal coal supply in India has pushed imports up to 85 million tonnes (mt) in the first half of the current fiscal compared to 75 mt ...
Wednesday, 31 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - APOSTOLOS ROMPOPOULOS
Since the IMO’s 2020 global cap on sulphur in marine fuels is coming into force, ship-owners have to decide whether they will operate using e ...
Monday, 29 October 18
IMPLEMENTATION OF SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT - CARRIAGE BAN ADOPTED - IMO
An amendment to support consistent implementation of the forthcoming 0.50% limit on sulphur in ships fuel oil was adopted by the International Mari ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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