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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
 The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd is what OPEC+ countries are realistically able to add next month based on their storage, spare capacity and ramp up capabilities. Another million bpd could come if a cease-fire is agreed upon in Libya and the country reaches pre-shut-in levels.
The additional product comes at a time when there is an existing global supply surplus. Before the OPEC+ meeting earlier this month, Rystad Energy had calculated that cuts of about 2 million bpd were needed to balance the market.
Since then, the world’s global demand has also seen a steep decline as flight cancellations, industrial shutdowns, quarantines and travel bans have further reduced the need for oil consumption by many more millions of bpd, widening the imbalance that already existed before the OPEC+ meeting.
The oil price is soon expected to slide even lower once the extra supply becomes available from April. But that’s not the end of it, as OPEC+ could add another 800,000 barrels of oil from May, ramping up production from its spare capacity even further.
Separately, Libya itself could make use of more of its total production capacity in a cease-fire scenario, which is as high as 2.8 million bpd. The country’s current output is less than 100,000 barrels per day due to the ongoing conflict.
“Any large political power sometimes needs to remind its adversaries and competitors of its might. We believe Saudi Arabia seeks to teach the market a lesson,” says Bjørnar Tonhaugen, Rystad Energy’s Head of Oil Markets.
There is a risk of production shut-ins as the world’s oil storage capabilities will be put to the test, with oil’s spot price subsequently collapsing, Tonhaugen adds, in which case countries with higher break-even prices will be the first to be affected.
Breaking down the additional oil production capability of the OPEC+ countries, Saudi Arabia will be the producer that plans to add the most, reaching total supply capabilities of 12.3 million bpd. We believe their upstream crude production capacity, without any additional drilling, is limited to around 11.5 million bpd in the short term.
For now, we expect the country’s April crude production to rise to between 10.8 million and 11 million bpd from 9.8 million bpd in February, and further to 11.2 million bpd in May. The remaining oil could come from its global storage facilities, in order to meet the 12.3 million bpd target.
We expect that Russia can increase production by at least 300,000 bpd in the next 90 days, according to guidance provided by Energy Minister Alexander Novak, but for now we include a more conservative increase of about 200,000 bpd in our estimates.
We expect UAE production to increase by about 200,000 bpd to 3.20 million bpd in April from February’s 3.04 million bpd, mostly from its flagship Murban onshore field. We acknowledge that the UAE could manage to increase production even higher if it utilizes its entire spare capacity.
A 110,000-bpd increase is also expected from Kuwait in April, raising its total production to 2.80 million bpd, with less upside risk than for UAE, Russia and Saudi Arabia.
The last major country with ample available spare capacity to potentially bring to the market in April is Iraq. Based on our analysis, Iraq will ramp-up production by 250,000 bpd to nearly 4.9 million bpd in April. If Iraq finds buyers for this additional crude, its total spare capacity of 480,000 bpd could be back online by June.
Source: Rystad Energy
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Friday, 10 April 20
INDIA'S BULKS SUPPLY CHAIN TAKES A HIT DURING LOCKDOWN - WOOD MACKENZIE
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Businesses are shut, and the supply chain is ...
Thursday, 09 April 20
SUSPENSION OF WRONGFUL TRADING IN LIGHT OF COVID 19 - WF&W
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
DIRECTORS’ PERSONAL LIABILITY FOR WRONGFUL TRADING – RELIEF DURING THE CORONAVIRUS CRISIS
As the UK&rsquo ...
Wednesday, 08 April 20
LESSONS LEARNED FROM SCRUBBER INSTALLATION AND OPERATION - ABS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
At the beginning of this year, the IMO’s global sulfur cap on marine fuels entered into force and shipowners who ch ...
Wednesday, 08 April 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
With lockdown measures around the globe tightening during the last weeks of Q1, there is finally a feeling that most countries are slowly but stead ...
Tuesday, 07 April 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
With the first quarter of 2020 now firmly written in the books, it is worth examining what we have witnessed so far in the tanker market. Undoubted ...
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Showing 1021 to 1025 news of total 6871 |
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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