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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Thursday, 16 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA ROUND VOYAGE FIXING AROUND LOW/MID USD 6,000 BSS APS INDO - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Still very rough seas for the big ships, with the majority of the fleet trading Far East or fronthaul and consequently earning far les ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
ASIA PACIFIC GAS AND LNG - 6 THEMES TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
NEWS RELEASE
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020
Asian LNG spot pr ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
PREDICTIONS FOR 2020: 'SLOWBALISATION" IS THE NEW GLOBALISATION - PWC
Projecting what the future holds is an important exercise for businesses looking to plan ahead. Below we present a summary of some of the themes we ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the indus ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
SOLAS AMENDMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE 1 JANUARY 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
While the latest amendments to MARPOL annex VI which entered into force on 1 January 2020 limiting the SOx emissions from ships has been the centre ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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