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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Saturday, 11 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIA COAL RUNS, A 58,000DWT SHIP WAS RUMOURED FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, IN THE $4,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Closing out the first full trading week of 2020, the Capesize market is struggling to gain any solid positive upward traction. Opening ...
Friday, 10 January 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remains flat
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
...
Thursday, 09 January 20
NEW IMO LIFEBOAT REQUIREMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Three new compulsory IMO resolutions entered into force on 1 January 2020. These resolutions deal with the maintenance, t ...
Thursday, 09 January 20
INDIA'S NEW EASED MINING RULES TO ENHANCE FOREIGN PARTICIPATION IN COAL SECTOR: MINISTER
India’s cabinet has eased mining laws in a bid to attract foreign players to the domestic coal sector and reduce imports of the fuel, coal mi ...
Thursday, 09 January 20
SUPRAMAX: A NUMBER OF INDONESIAN ROUND TRIPS WERE REPORTED AT BELLOW USD 5,000 PD LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The Capesize market has hit new low's in the first week of the new year, with the West Australia route being fixed at USD 6.6 being ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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