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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Sunday, 26 April 20
STRONGER BUNKER PRICES FAIL TO RALLY FREIGHT MARKET - FIS
VLSFO bunker prices rebounded by $22.50 to $229/mt in the port of Singapore but failed to turn around the spot freight market.
Some ...
Saturday, 25 April 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO. INVITED BIDS FOR 780K - 900K MT OF 5600 NCV COAL FOR JULY TO OCTOBER 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 780,000~900,000 Metric Tons (MT) s ...
Saturday, 25 April 20
SEAFARER MENTAL WELLBEING DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COVID-19 has forced many parts of the world to enforce a lockdown in a bid to flatten the curve in terms of transmissions ...
Friday, 24 April 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 5700 NAR COAL FOR JUNE & JULY LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea’s Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) Has Issued An International Tender For 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) Steam Coal ...
Friday, 24 April 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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