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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 24 April 20
COAL INDIA TO PRODUCE 710 MT COAL - MINISTER OF COAL AND MINES
Coal India Limited (CIL) will produce 710 million tonnes (MT) of coal and company’s coal off take target will also remain at710 MT for this f ...
Friday, 24 April 20
CHINA COAL PRODUCER YANZHOU COAL POSTS 9.6 PCT RISE IN 2019 NET PROFIT - XINHUA
China’s major coal producer Yanzhou Coal Mining Co., Ltd. said Thursday that its net profit saw a 9.6 percent rise in 2019.
Th ...
Tuesday, 21 April 20
INDONESIA ACCOUNTS FOR 19% OF JAPAN'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
Coal trade in Asia is proving remarkably resilient this year, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19.
We have seen China&r ...
Tuesday, 21 April 20
COVID-19: CHARTERPARTY MATTERS FOR SHIPOWNERS - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Whilst the plight of cruise ships, stranded off shore with sick passengers and crew, may be dominating media headlines, t ...
Monday, 20 April 20
SUPRAMAX: A 52,000DWT SHIP FIXING AN INDONESIA COAL RUN TO CHINA AT $4400 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week was the strongest period seen for the Capesize market in several months. All routes globally succumbed to improved sentiment ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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