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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 22 July 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA SAW INCREASED ACTIVITY AND STRONGER NUMBERS BEING CONCLUDED; INDONESIAN ROUNDS REMAINED FIRM - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Another week of gains as the Atlantic basin continues to be pressurised on tonnage and Brazilian cargoes keep up a steady flow. The Ca ...
Thursday, 18 July 19
WORLD TRADE IN HARD COAL ROSE BY 4.7% IN 2018 - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
World Trade in Hard Coal Rose by 4.7% in 2018
Hard Coal Can Prevent Stress in the Electric Power System in Germany
• Sharp decl ...
Wednesday, 17 July 19
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important waterways in the world, connecting crude producers in the Middle East with key markets in the res ...
Tuesday, 16 July 19
KING COAL RULES IN JAPAN AS POWER UTILITIES IN THRALL TO LOW-COST FUEL - REUTERS
Japanese utilities will rely on the return of coal-fired power plants from maintenance to meet peak electricity demand this summer, highlighting th ...
Tuesday, 16 July 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA WAS SPLIT, WITH A BUILD-UP OF TONNAGE AND LACK OF ENQUIRY IN THE NORTH - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was a Brazilian affair with a strong splash of bunkers characterising the Capesize market over the past week. Largely traded in Eur ...
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Showing 1361 to 1365 news of total 6871 |
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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