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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
 Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping says, at the end of 2018, we were noting strong levels of optimism and bullish sentiment for the year that lay ahead, especially when given the overall recovery that had been noted in 2018 and 2017, whilst most core index figures finished at relatively good levels. Given these positive trends, for most, 2019 was set to also be a year of general upward momentum, inline somehow with the perceived perception that fundamentals were still improving and there would be more balanced and sustainable dynamics witnessed in the market. Even for those that held a more conservative view as to how things would transpire, few would have called the steepness of the downward correction noted, the increased volatility or the continuous shifts in sentiment that characterize the current market.
After more than 3 months of being stuck in the doldrums, Thomas Chasapis says, with volatility rising for the first quarter of this year by 178% compared to the same time frame back in 2018 (using standard deviation), we finally saw the BDI pass above the 1,000 basis point mark once more (a point last held at the end of January). Even if you consider this recovery to be momentary and driven mainly by the recovery noted in the Capesize segment, it still represents a huge “breather” for the overall dry sector.
Taking this last point, it is interesting to see the BCI trends of late in more detail. The BCI time charter average closed on Friday at US$ 11,182/day, while just a month prior, it had reached its lowest level (since 2016) of 3,460 US$/day, as such placing the recovery gain in the region of 223% in almost 1 month. If this doesn’t sound so impressive, the BCI index made an even more impressive jump, going from a low point of 92 basis points at the very start of April, up to 1,290 points (14 times higher!).
Furthermore, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping noted that, adding a taste of forward sentiment coming through the paper market, a considerable boost was noted not only for FFA contracts for this year, but also for the calendar years of 2020 and 2021. Notwithstanding this, there is still a fair bit of road ahead before we start witnessing any sort of rebalancing in this segment. The turmoil derived from the Vale incident a few months back continues to shake the market, while now, given that most parties involved are now in the process of adapting to the new market realities, we can expect huge levels of volatility and asymmetries for the rest of the year (at least). Moreover, even if we assume an increase in demand for iron ore in the near term and that it will be absorbed completely by the other main exporters (such as Australia), we will still be left with a tremendous gap in tonne-miles which will continue to add an excessive amount of negative pressure on freight rates.
All-in-all, while leaving aside the rather mediocre state being portrayed right now in the dry bulk sector in terms of earnings, the point that troubles most is the overall feeling of uncertainty surrounding the market. Moreover, given a potential 25% levy to be imposed in US imports from China by this Friday as mentioned by President Trump’s tweets on Sunday, it is obvious that we will continue to face random and unpredictable shocks, with tremendous consequences to the overall state of the freight market. With all being said, even under good and strong fundamentals (i.e. balanced supply-demand dynamics), it is very difficult at this point to make any confident assumptions as to what direction the market will take next, even on a short-term basis.
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Tuesday, 19 February 19
FAST DEPLETING COAL RESERVES COULD PUSH UP ENERGY PRICES, CAUTIONS EXPERT - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The fast depletion of coal, a strategic resource and India’s fuel of choice currently, has huge implications for energy costs, according to K ...
Monday, 18 February 19
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT FALLS TO 17.25 MT IN JANUARY - PTI
Coal imports saw a decline in January FY 2019 to 17.25 MT from 19.59 MT in the same month of the previous fiscal, according to a report by mjunctio ...
Monday, 18 February 19
THE ROLE OF COAL IN INDIA'S ENERGY AMBITIONS - WCA
India is the world’s second most populous country and figures among the world’s most rapidly growing economies.
The Sout ...
Saturday, 16 February 19
COALTRANS CHINA 2019, CHINA'S LARGEST COAL INDUSTRY GATHERING
Press Release: Coaltrans China 2019 | With the import ban likely to be lifted, it’s time for you to meet your potentia ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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