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Tuesday, 26 February 19
CHINA RESTRICTS SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS - WOOD MACKENZIE
 In response to news on China's Dalian port restricting seaborne coal imports, Wood Mackenzie's experts provide the following commentary.
Wood Mackenzie senior consultant Yu Zhai said:
"We estimate China's seaborne metallurgical coal imports to reduce by 3 million tonnes (Mt) in 2019 as a result of China's coal import restriction. The high quality of seaborne coal, and difficulties securing alternative coal domestically, should insulate coal exporters from much deeper cuts, despite strong signals from China. Australia would account for most of the volume reduction as it represented over 75% of China's seaborne metallurgical imports in 2018. Australia exported around 36 Mt metallurgical to China last year, makign up 20% of Australia's total exports.
"China's seaborne thermal coal imports is estimated to reduce by 15 Mt in 2019, taking into account the risk of wider coal import restriction. Australia could also be most affected by a similar restriction."
On implications on metallurgical coal, Wood Mackenzie's research director Robin Griffin said:
"A prolonged China-wide ban could have enormous implications for markets in both countries. The possibility of adverse impacts on China suggest a long term ban is unlikely."
Some of the most prominent impacts could include:
- Chinese domestic prices would spike. Prices for low sulphur premium coals in particular would rise as importers scramble to replace Australian coals. We expect that short term replacements will be hard to find domestically. There is a heavy reliance among coastal mills on low sulphur hard coking coals from Luilin County in Shanxi. There are other similar coals in Anze County but these are typically used inside Shanxi by merchant coke makers due to high transport costs to the coast. As an indication of what might happen during an import ban, domestic coking coal futures jumped at the end of January on the news of import controls. Chinese steel makers would ultimately see much costlier coke blends.
- Seaborne prices would decouple from Chinese domestic prices. We expect FOB Australian prices, particularly for premium and 2nd tier HCCs, would come under severe pressure as Australian exporters look to sell excess coal into other markets. The decoupling would be of most benefit to steel makers elsewhere in Asia, and Europe, who would see a fall in coal costs. Australia's competitors in the metallurgical coal trade might see greater opportunities into China, but Canada and the US are already subject to some quality and tariff-related restrictions into China, limiting their potential upside. And of course, lower seaborne prices would offset the benefit of any extra demand from China.
- Mongolian coal imports could rise substantially in order to replace Australian coals. Weaker coals make up the majority of Mongolian exports so in the short term direct replacements for Australian coals would be limited. However, new border crossing technology is being implemented to speed up trucking clearances, which would facilitate higher exports.
- A longer-term ban would force Chinese coastal mills to amend coke blends. There are options for mills to make blend changes, but not without implications. There are two common blends that could be utilised which would result in higher sulphur, higher ash, and lower CSR coke products:
- Use of more high sulphur (1.8% total sulphur) premium HCCs such as Luilin #9, blended with Mongolian 2ndtier HCCs such as the #3 product to produce a tier 1 coke.
- Use of mid-sulphur Shanxi premium HCCs (1-1.3% total sulphur) with low sulphur (0.5% total sulphur) 1/3 coking coals to produce a lower quality, but still a tier 1 coke.
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Monday, 11 March 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 DWT VESSEL WAS BOOKED SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO CHINA AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A faint glimmer of hope with the suggestion the market may have finally bottomed out, with owners attempting to resist further cuts in ...
Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
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Showing 1451 to 1455 news of total 6871 |
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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