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Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
 Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Following an initial burst of enthusiasm for the deal, scepticism set in, alongside worries about the global economic background. Prices fell by $10/bbl with Brent crude oil bottoming out on 24 December at just above $50/bbl. For the producers, this was unwelcome, but for consumers it provided a nice present for the holidays. In the US Gulf Coast, gasoline prices in early January averaged $1.89/gal versus the summer peak of $2.79/gal and in India, prices are about 14% below the early October peak. Recently, leading producers have restated their commitment to cut output and data show that words were transformed into actions. In December, OPEC production fell by almost 600 kb/d and Saudi Arabia has signalled that, for its part, further significant cutbacks will take place in January and beyond.
The Brent price has moved back above $60/bbl, so the answer to our question posed last month seems to be a qualified yes, at least for now. However, the journey to a balanced market will take time, and is more likely to be a marathon than a sprint. While Saudi Arabia is determined to protect its price aspirations by delivering substantial production cuts, there is less clarity with regard to its Russian partner. Data show that Russia increased crude oil production in December to a new record near 11.5 mb/d and it is unclear when it will cut and by how much. Other non-OPEC countries joining in the output deal saw higher output, including Mexico.
Elsewhere, there are signs that market re-balancing will be gradual. The trajectory of Iran’s production and exports remains important. In December, total exports increased slightly to over 1.3 mb/d. With US waivers allowing Iran’s major customers to buy higher volumes than was previously thought, more oil will remain in the market in the early part of 2019. Venezuela has seen the collapse of its oil industry slow during the second half of 2018 with production falling recently by about 10 kb/d each month rather than by the 40 kb/d we saw earlier in the year. The level of output in the world’s biggest liquids producer, the United States, will once again be a major factor in 2019. We saw incredible and unexpected growth in total liquids production of 2.1 mb/d in 2018. For this year, we have left unchanged for now our forecast for growth of 1.3 mb/d. While the other two giants voluntarily cut output, the US, already the biggest liquids supplier, will reinforce its leadership as the world’s number one crude producer. By the middle of the year, US crude output will probably be more than the capacity of either Saudi Arabia or Russia.
For oil demand, there is a mixed picture. Falling prices in 4Q18 helped consumers and there are signs that trade tensions might be easing. In many developing countries, lower international oil prices coincide with a weaker dollar as the likelihood of higher US interest rates fades for now. However, the mood music in the global economy is not very cheerful. Confidence is weakening in several major economies. In the short term, there is added uncertainty about oil demand due to the onset of the northern hemisphere winter season, with low temperatures seen in the past few days in many places. For now, we retain our view that demand growth in 2018 was 1.3 mb/d, and this year it will be slightly higher at 1.4 mb/d, mainly due to average prices being below year-ago levels.
In the meantime, refiners face a challenging year. Processing capacity will increase by 2.6 mb/d, the biggest growth for four decades, while margins are already pressured by low gasoline cracks due to oversupply and weak demand. The well-trailed changes to the International Maritime Organisation’s marine fuel regulations due in 2020 are another big issue for some refiners as they seek to find outlets for unwanted high sulphur fuel oil. By the end of the year, all industry players, upstream and downstream, may feel as if they have run a marathon.
Source: IEA
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Tuesday, 22 January 19
9TH GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN INNOVATION SUMMIT 2019
Rethinking the supply chain in manufacturing is a must at the digital era along with the industry transforming and innovating; new manufacturing is ...
Tuesday, 22 January 19
AUSTRALIA'S YANCOAL PRODUCED 50 MMT SALEABLE COAL IN 2018 UP 59 PER CENT ON THE YEAR PRIOR, THE QUARTERLY REPORT SHOWS
According to the report, the miner's quarterly (Q4' 18) saleable coal production of 12.4 Mmt. Includes 10.5 Mmt (85 per cent) from the Comp ...
Monday, 21 January 19
KOSPO INVITING BIDS FOR 320K MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Monday, 21 January 19
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIAN COAL RUNS, TONNAGE WAS GIVING APS DELIVERIES AND A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXED AT $7,000 FOR A TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to a week that saw rates on the West Australia/China run slip below $6.00, as charterers faced a plentiful supply ...
Monday, 21 January 19
HARD COAL WORLD TRADE IN 2018 RISES BY 3.7 PER CENT; GLOBAL HARD COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 1.7 PER CENT - VDKI
Global Hard Coal Production Increases By 1.7%.
According to provisional calculations by the German Coal Importer Association (VDKi), ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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