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Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resembles that of a ship sailing, for the past decade, in shallow and tidy waters trying to avoid groundings. It was caught on a grounding two years ago, but is now freed by the rising tide. The Captain is of course relieved to be able to set sail. But this relief must be tempered by the urgency to sail toward deeper seas before the receding waters beach the ship again.
Until the mid of 2018, all the forecasts for 2018 and 2019 reflected optimism. More than half of the world's countries were experiencing growth. There was a synchronized recovery resulting in faster and stronger growth in the near term. Unemployment has declined in USA, Europe and Japan, whilst inflation has not picked up, finding a point of golden balance. However, as the report from WBG points out, the medium term prospects tell a different story. Trade wars may be devastating and the protectionist threats have already cast their spell on the world's growth, with uncertainty killing investment. Obviously this is also directly affecting the shipping market; adding on top of this the 2020 Sulphur cap regulations and untested solutions, the future of coal and the additional capex for WBT the result is more uncertainty, which makes shipping professionals more reluctant.
Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past eight months and expectations for upside surprises have receded. Global growth downward revision during 2018 reflects events that suppressed activity in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade threats and measures already implemented or approved, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills.
On the ship supply side (>20,000dwt), the dry bulk fleet grew by 200 vessels in absolute terms since last year. Whilst 2018 will be remembered for the very few bulk carrier deliveries - from the 400 bulk carriers that were planned to be delivered in 2018 just 268 ships were delivered - there was also very low scrapping activity, just fifty bulk carriers were sold for demolition. For 2019 it is projected that shipbuilders will deliver about another 530 vessels. The orderbook has increased by about 200 vessels since the same time last year but if we go back another few years it is much smaller and appears much more reasonable. Compared to the existing fleet, new building orders are 7% for the Handysize, 6% for the Supramax and 10% for the Panamax/Kamsarmax sector and the Capesize sector is 11%.
The trade growth, i.e. demand for seaborne trade, in 2019 and 2020 and the fleet utilization will judge the fate of a lot of the older tonnage and whether the market is good enough to support additional investment (WBT) or not, in which case they will have to make way for the younger ones. Oil prices and the efficiency of each vessel will play a huge role on investment decisions. So, once again, we are approaching 2020 with uncertainty and volatility on both the demand and the supply side. 2019 is going to be interesting...
Happy New Year to All.
By Theodoros Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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Showing 1481 to 1485 news of total 6871 |
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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