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Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
 The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings says. Higher fuel costs and sulphur regulation will also put pressure on shippers. Partly offsetting an unfavourable environment are emerging signs of better capacity management by shipping companies, which is key to a sustainable balance and freight rates that support consistent profitability. We expect better fundamentals in container and dry bulk, while capacity growth will weigh on tankers. The key risk to shipping is an escalation of protectionist measures that would damage global trade and GDP growth.
Free global trade is vital for shipping development – about 80% of world trade in goods is carried by ships. More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase operating costs and capex requirements in all shipping segments. This may negatively affect financials unless shippers pass these costs to customers. However, the product tanker market may benefit from these regulations as seaborne trade of low sulphur fuel is likely to increase as a result.
We expect healthy, albeit slower volume growth, in 2019 in container shipping. But supply and demand should be more balanced as fewer new vessels come onto the market. This should provide support to freight rates. Container shipping has become more consolidated with top five players accounting for 63% of the market in 2018 compared to only 31% in 2000, which is beginning to help with coordinated capacity deployment.
We expect freight rates in dry bulk to remain flat on average in 2019 based on balanced volumes and net fleet growth of about 3%. Any escalation of global trade conflicts, especially between the US and China, could affect cargo flows, especially for grains and minor bulk. However, we see the risk of a material reduction of overall demand and rates to be low. This is because commodity trade flows are likely to shift, rather than stop. For example, Chinese tariffs on US grain imports caused an increase in South American exports to China, while US soybeans have been directed to European and Middle Eastern markets.
Potential overcapacity weighs on the tanker sector. We forecast net tanker capacity to grow at about 3%, up from about 1.5% in 2018. The sector may face downside risks from oil demand and supply. US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts global oil consumption in 2019 to rise 1.4%, down slightly from a 1.5% increase in 2018. The impact of US sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports as well as OPEC’s decision on production volumes in December meeting are likely to affect oil supply and, as a result, demand for tankers
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Monday, 26 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STALLED THIS WEEK WITH A BUILD-UP OF TONNAGE - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was a positive end to the week, with West Australia/China making significant gains and firing owners’ resolve. There was talk ...
Friday, 23 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY'S POTENTIAL ACQUISITION OF STANMORE CREDIT POSITIVE - FITCH RATINGS
Golden Energy and Resources Limited's (GEAR, B+/Positive) potential acquisition of Stanmore Coal will help the company diversify its coal opera ...
Friday, 23 November 18
ASSOCIATION CALLS FOR REVISION OF DMO SCHEME FOR COAL - JP
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) has called on the government to revise the domestic market obligation (DMO) scheme for coal, which re ...
Friday, 23 November 18
INDONESIA'S REVENUES FROM MINERAL AND COAL INCREASE TO US$ 2.858 BILLION - ANTARA
Indonesia`s non-tax state revenues from the mineral and coal sub-sector reached Rp 41.77 trillion (approximately US$ 2.858 Billion) as of Nov 16, 2 ...
Thursday, 22 November 18
SHUT OUT OF CHINA, U.S. COAL EXPORTERS FIND FAVOUR IN INDIA, FOR NOW - REUTERS
U.S. coal exporters have effectively lost a promising market in China since the imposition of tariffs as part of the ongoing trade dispute, but so ...
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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