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Wednesday, 12 September 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
 A recovery in the shipping market since last year has buoyed optimism amongst the people in the industry. Yet if you are to ask most ship-owners if they are happy with the market, you will get a reply “mmmh... not really...”. The market hike seems to have hit a ceiling the past months and whilst the ship earnings have doubled or tripled compared to two years ago, they still seem to be just a touch (?) away from their break-even. Also, opposite to the common belief, during the past few months instead of further improvement we have seen a lot of volatility and a resistance to get to higher levels.
On the ship supply side, the world fleet has increased by 181 vessels since last year corresponding to a marginal growth of just below 2%. This moderate fleet increase versus four percent global growth has no doubt been a major driver of the recovery. Looking forward, there has been some order replenishment and in fact the orderbook is today bigger than what it was a year ago; about half of the new orders are Kamsarmaxes, generating some concerns on over ordering and affecting an already fragile market. On the other hand we can easily argue that the environmental regulations that are coming into force over the next couple of years, will call on owners to make substantial investments in their assets and we don't expect them to upgrade their older vessels. Current orderbook – not including slippage/cancellations – stands at 8.5% of the world fleet and with 9% of the fleet being over 20 years old you have a good release valve to balance the new deliveries.
On the other side of the equation there still is a growing demand for seaborne transportation. The population continues to expand, emerging countries continue to absorb shipping goods and raw materials, so - still being the most fuel efficient and environment friendly form of commercial transport – seaborne trade will continue to grow; this is a fact. On the other hand, shipping is inherently correlated to the world economy, so the trade contraction from trade wars, may translate into reduction in demand for shipping, and although China is no longer growing at eight or ten percent annually, it's still leading the demand for tonne miles. To put it simply, the demand is under short term shakedown from president Trump. Up until today, the markets have been on wait-and-see mode whether the threats are valid and how far the confrontation will go. The US president's tariffs have been met with Chinese retaliation and Beijing administration confident that they can cope with full scale trade war.
So, although we don't see a ceiling, since there seem to be strong fundamentals for the market to improve further, we are now on a kind of a plateau whereby there are economic as well as political reasons that are preventing markets to improve further. For shipping we believe that this will work in its favour in the longer term as, although it's a good entry point for investments and the upside is there, it makes the ship-owners more careful, patient and they avoid overreactions. This situation should also remind everybody that shipping is an infinite game and the objective of the players – both know and unknown - is to perpetuate the game.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 August 18
COAL PRODUCTION AT 37.11 PERCENT OF FULL-YEAR TARGET - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesian coal production was recorded at 180 million tons on Wednesday, or 37.11 percent of the government’s 485 million target this year.
...
Thursday, 16 August 18
OIL MARKET HIGHLIGHTS - OPEC
Crude Oil Price Movements
In July, the OPEC Reference Basket increased marginally by 5¢ m-o-m to settle at $73.27/b. Oil futures saw mixed ...
Tuesday, 14 August 18
THE CAPESIZE MARKET HAS SHOWN A TREMENDOUS COURSE DURING THE PAST 12 MONTHS - THOMAS CHASAPIS
The Capesize market has shown a tremendous course during the past 12 months, having quickly climbed out of the “hole that it had found itself ...
Monday, 13 August 18
A 50,200 DWT FIXED DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $10,000S - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Expectations of a further push in the market were largely unfulfilled last week as rates come under pressure in Asia as the North Atla ...
Friday, 10 August 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 1.8% IN 2019 BECAUSE COAL EXPORTS AND COAL CONSUMPTION ARE BOTH FORECAST TO DECREASE - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1.1% to 766 million short tons (MMst) in 2018 despite a 5.7% (6 MMst) increase in coal exports.
...
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Showing 1646 to 1650 news of total 6871 |
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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