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Wednesday, 12 September 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
 A recovery in the shipping market since last year has buoyed optimism amongst the people in the industry. Yet if you are to ask most ship-owners if they are happy with the market, you will get a reply “mmmh... not really...”. The market hike seems to have hit a ceiling the past months and whilst the ship earnings have doubled or tripled compared to two years ago, they still seem to be just a touch (?) away from their break-even. Also, opposite to the common belief, during the past few months instead of further improvement we have seen a lot of volatility and a resistance to get to higher levels.
On the ship supply side, the world fleet has increased by 181 vessels since last year corresponding to a marginal growth of just below 2%. This moderate fleet increase versus four percent global growth has no doubt been a major driver of the recovery. Looking forward, there has been some order replenishment and in fact the orderbook is today bigger than what it was a year ago; about half of the new orders are Kamsarmaxes, generating some concerns on over ordering and affecting an already fragile market. On the other hand we can easily argue that the environmental regulations that are coming into force over the next couple of years, will call on owners to make substantial investments in their assets and we don't expect them to upgrade their older vessels. Current orderbook – not including slippage/cancellations – stands at 8.5% of the world fleet and with 9% of the fleet being over 20 years old you have a good release valve to balance the new deliveries.
On the other side of the equation there still is a growing demand for seaborne transportation. The population continues to expand, emerging countries continue to absorb shipping goods and raw materials, so - still being the most fuel efficient and environment friendly form of commercial transport – seaborne trade will continue to grow; this is a fact. On the other hand, shipping is inherently correlated to the world economy, so the trade contraction from trade wars, may translate into reduction in demand for shipping, and although China is no longer growing at eight or ten percent annually, it's still leading the demand for tonne miles. To put it simply, the demand is under short term shakedown from president Trump. Up until today, the markets have been on wait-and-see mode whether the threats are valid and how far the confrontation will go. The US president's tariffs have been met with Chinese retaliation and Beijing administration confident that they can cope with full scale trade war.
So, although we don't see a ceiling, since there seem to be strong fundamentals for the market to improve further, we are now on a kind of a plateau whereby there are economic as well as political reasons that are preventing markets to improve further. For shipping we believe that this will work in its favour in the longer term as, although it's a good entry point for investments and the upside is there, it makes the ship-owners more careful, patient and they avoid overreactions. This situation should also remind everybody that shipping is an infinite game and the objective of the players – both know and unknown - is to perpetuate the game.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 September 18
MARINE BUNKERS: THE END OF THE WORLD AS WE KNOW IT - IBIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The world of bunkers is heading for rapid and fundamental changes and not just because of the 0.50% sulphur cap in 2020. ...
Monday, 10 September 18
HANDYSIZE: PERIOD ACTIVITY REMAINED LIMITED WITH A 37,000DWT REPORTEDLY FIXED FOR FOUR TO SIX MONTHS AT $10,500, OPEN IN MALAYSIA IN MID-SEPTEMBER - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Rates came under pressure for the big ships last week, despite paper values holding at reasonable levels as these trades continued to ...
Thursday, 06 September 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALLS FOR FIRST TIME IN 3 MONTHS
COALspot.com: The benchmark price of Indonesian thermal coal falls for first time in three months.
According to the latest min ...
Thursday, 06 September 18
SUPRAMAX: SE ASIA-INDO ROUNDS WITH COAL HAVE BEEN CONCLUDED IN THE $13000S RANGE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The big ships experiencing a bump in the road towards what is commonly expected to be by far the best period of this year. Average dai ...
Wednesday, 05 September 18
ASIAN DEMAND COULD CREATE DEFICIT IN GLOBAL LNG MARKET - FITCH RATINGS
Growing gas demand from Asia, particularly from China, could swing the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market into a deficit by 2022-2025, Fitch Rating ...
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Showing 1626 to 1630 news of total 6871 |
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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