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Wednesday, 12 October 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
 Another Monday has gone by, bringing with it further turbulence for oil. A series of meetings between high-production nations Russia & Saudi Arabia yielded statements signaling that a potential agreement to limit crude output is a possibility. According to Vladimir Putin “Russia is ready to join the joint measures to cap production and is calling for other oil exporters to join”. At the same time, Algeria has also called for similar measures to be taken by non-OPEC members. Following these events, and amidst speculation regarding the firming possibility of a Clinton presidency next month, oil surged to its highest levels this year, with the Brent futures reaching USD 53.73 and finally closing at USD 53.14 on Monday.
While the expectation of a possible agreement played its part in driving the futures to higher levels, the upward trend was short-lived with Brent falling back to USD 52.84 this morning. Growing doubts regarding whether the proposed measures would be enough to compensate for two years of oversupply, especially considering the higher production figures coming out of Libya, Nigeria and Iraq, have reigned in the index.
The strained relationship between OPEC members is also a concern, especially when it comes to Iran which, with its recent re-entry into the market, is looking to regain lost market share by increasing production. This comes into direct opposition with Saudi Arabia who has been adamant regarding Iran’s commitment to any such future agreement.
Furthermore, Iraq has also been looking at growing production next year and has been one of the main opponents of an agreement. Goldman Sachs issued a statement to clients regarding the increased possibility of a production cut deal but also stressing that markets are unlikely to rebalance within the year.
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih expressed his confidence that a deal would be reached by November. However, he further stressed the need to tread carefully and responsibly in order to not shock the market too much. It is very much worth noting that a potential large increase in oil prices might allow high-cost exporters (such as US shale exporters for whom current prices are unprofitable) to resume production starting the cycle all over again. On the other hand, in case a deal is unattainable, it is quite likely that we will see levels towards the low-40s once again.
These events have also been felt in the tanker market. Nigerian and Brazilian outputs specifically have helped to stop the recent decline in tanker rates. With Nigerian volumes back up to around 1.8mb/d, we have seen firmer Suezmax and VL rates (at 22k/d and 40k/d respectively). Brazil's output reached 2.6mb/d in August and is on a steady climb, which is expected to last until 2025. As internal demand has declined, exports have risen with approximately 40% of Brazil crude heading to China. Despite the adverse effect oversupply has had on prices and even though demand matching supply is rather questionable at the current state of the market, it has still offered more business for tankers and, as such, higher prices for oil won’t increase demand for it.
All in all, we will have to wait until the November official OPEC meetings for further firm developments. Given the general feeling of uncertainty and multitude of market-affecting variables in play at the moment, however, any sort of long-lasting stability seems rather farfetched.
By Linos Kogevinas
Marketing—Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 March 17
ESTIMATED U.S. COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT WEEK ENDED MARCH 4, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Friday, 10 March 17
THE 5TH PHILIPPINES POWER AND ELECTRICITY WEEK RETURNS WITH A UNIQUE FOCUS IN 2017
5th Annual Philippines Power & Electricity
18-21 July 2017
Solaire Resort & Casino,Manila, Philippines
http://www.philippinespowe ...
Thursday, 09 March 17
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE DROPPED FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT MONTH IN MARCH, GOVERNMENT DATA SHOWED
COALspot.com: Indonesian government declared coal benchmark price dropped for a fourth straight month in March, government data showed. The ...
Wednesday, 08 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET TODAY PROVIDES MUCH MORE CONFIDENCE COMPARED TO LAST YEAR - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
So what's all the fuss about? During the past five months SnP activity has being surging exponentially in the dry bulk sector. Buyers are looki ...
Monday, 06 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO FIRM UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firm up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk com ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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