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Thursday, 24 March 16
SEABORNE TRADE: CHECKING UP ON THE TRENDS - CLARKSON RESEARCH
 Following a decline in 2009, seaborne trade grew on average by 4.9% p.a. in 2010-13, reflecting booming import demand in a number of key importing countries and faster than global GDP growth. However, recent shifts in demand trends contributed to slower seaborne trade growth in 2014 (3.2%) and 2015 (2.0%). How has this reflected changes in demand for bulk shipments into major importing countries?
Multiple Problems?
The ratio between global seaborne trade growth and GDP growth (the ‘multiplier’), when considered over a long time period, can be a useful indicator of the impact of drivers in shipping. Following the economic downturn, the ratio averaged 1.3 in 2010-13, partly as strong Chinese GDP growth drove a surge in raw material imports, and globally production was outsourced to regions more distant from demand centres. Since 2014, the ratio has fallen below 1. The drop was most marked in 2015, with the ratio reaching 0.6, as world seaborne trade is estimated to have grown 2.0% and GDP by 3.1%, partly reflecting shifts in import demand. Growth in bulk imports (dry bulk and oil) to the five biggest importing nations in 2015 (see graph) slowed from an average of 5.5% p.a. in 2012-13, to 1.6% p.a. in 2014-15, with cargo totalling 3.7bt, equivalent to 49% of global bulk trade.
Sluggish Demand
Of course, China, the world’s largest importer of bulk cargoes, had been key in supporting the multiplier. The country’s bulk imports, which account for 23% of world seaborne bulk trade, grew on average by 11% p.a. 2010-13. However, the maturing Chinese economy’s shift, diversifying away from heavy industry, led to a stark slowdown in growth in bulk imports. Shipments to China rose 3% in 2014 and remained fairly flat y-o-y in 2015. Seaborne coal imports to the country fell 30% y-o-y to 188mt in 2015, while growth in iron ore imports slowed to 3%, from 15% in 2014. However, some of the loss was offset by robust crude import growth, partly supported by the oil price collapse.
Not Only China
While China is frequently highlighted as a of key driver of slower global trade growth, the expansion in imports into some other major nations was also more sluggish in 2014-15. Japan’s bulk imports, which account for 8% of the world total, grew on average by 3% p.a. in 2012-13, and fell 2% p.a. in 2014-15, to 588mt in 2015. Elsewhere, although expansion in Indian bulk imports has been firm, it is slowing. Growth slowed to 8% in 2015 due to a decline in coal imports.
In contrast, the rate of increase in Korean bulk imports picked up in 2014-15, largely underpinned by firmer growth in dry bulk shipments, although this was not enough to offset the slowdown in other countries. Elsewhere, the rate of decline in US imports eased, with most of the fall in oil imports having already taken place.
So, whilst the maturing Chinese economy has contributed to slower trade growth recently, it has not been the sole driver. Seaborne trade has still grown robustly since the start of 2009, by around 30%. But the world fleet is now 48% larger in GT terms. Surplus capacity today evident in many sectors is a clear reflection of concerted pressure from slower growth in shipments across key importers.
Source: Clarkson Research Services Limited Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 03 March 16
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF INTEREST IN BENGALLA JOINT VENTURE FOR US$616.7 MILLION
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its 40 per cent interest in the Bengalla coal Joint Venture in Australia to New Hope Corporation ...
Wednesday, 02 March 16
RE-EVALUATION OF MINING LICENSES CLEAN AND CLEAR STATUS IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com: In connection with the transfer of mining authority from Regents/Mayors to Governors1 and from Regents/Mayors and Governors to t ...
Wednesday, 02 March 16
OIL MY GOD.....!!!!
OIL my GOD….!!!!
The oil price “crash” that started in 2014 was caused by a glut of practically unwanted oil. Producers had be ...
Tuesday, 01 March 16
CS 42 (4200 GAR) COAL INDEX CLOSED AT US$ 27.11 A TON ON 26 FEBRUARY
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.31 percent week over week to averaging $38.77 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Tuesday, 01 March 16
CAN BULKCARRIER SUPPLY CUTS RESTORE SOME BALANCE? - CLARKSONS
The easing in bulkcarrier deliveries and the accelerated pace of demolition in recent years has seen bulkcarrier fleet growth slow from a rapid 17% ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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