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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIG CHINESE COPPER PROCESSORS DEFEND MARGINS THROUGH R&D, SAYS FITCH
Large Chinese copper processors are focusing on higher value-added products and investing in R&D to enhance their technical know-how to maintai ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIMCO LAUNCHES ANTI-CORRUPTION CLAUSE FOR SHIPPING CONTRACTS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: BIMCO, is the world’s largest international shipping association, with 2,200 members in around 130 countries, has now launched ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE VASTARDIS
We have already noticed obvious signs of activity mainly West of Suez, which are currently driving the clean MR market to higher levels. Over the p ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL SUPPLY PRESSURE PUTS INDONESIAN HBA IN FREE FALL
The coal industry is slowly recognizing that, the current coal price level is not a decrease in price, but a change in pricing to corresp ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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