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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Friday, 27 November 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS UP FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up week over week and month over month.
The Q1’ 2016 swa ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS EXPECTED TO REACH 16 MILLION TONS AND COKING COAL IMPORTS TO AMOUNT TO 4 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
- “Coal has made huge steps towards environmental sustainability, making itself t ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET WILL REBOUND EVENTUALLY, BUT THINGS WILL BECOME EVEN WORSE BEFORE THEY IMPROVE SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached an all-time late last week and has failed to rebound significantly eve ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FALLS 27.5% SINCE 20 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
INDIA'S POWER GENERATORS FACE LOW, FALLING UTILISATION RATE - FITCH
COAlspot.com: Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the utilisation rate of India's thermal power generation capacity continued to decline in ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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