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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Thursday, 03 December 15
PANAMAX BUSINESS REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Following the new record lows the Dry Bulk market witnessed the week prior, the BDI took a much needed breath during the past days.
...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up month over month and fell week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS
Boom and bust cycles in commodity prices are not something rare, yet they have important implications both for the world economy in general and for ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $3.75 per ton (9.26%) month over month to US$ 36.75 per ton. The swap ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
TANKERS VERSUS BULKERS - JUST PLAYING CATCH UP? - CLARKSONS
It’s now more than a year since the tanker market took off. In mid-2014 tanker earnings picked up and since then have been in the $30-$40,000 ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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