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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 30 November 15
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
ASSOCARBONI is in favour of an international mechanism to provide financial support to countries building high efficiency low emission coal plants. ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CS 5000 GAR COAL INDEX FIRM D-O-D; WEAK W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index up slightly day over day.
According to the system generated index, the CS 50 (5000 GAR coal) was ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAINED UNCHANGED FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 4.50 (9.78%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 29 November 15
CAPE INDEX SURGES 383 POINTS WEEK OVER WEEK, BOOSTS BALTIC DRY INDEX
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping rates, fell to 498 points on 20 November and touched a 30-year low, but on 27 November th ...
Friday, 27 November 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEEK ENDING 20 NOVEMBER CLOSED HIGHER COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and up on week over week. Coal prices seen slight improvements thi ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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