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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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