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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
Thursday, 19 November 15
CHINA STEEL PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO PEAK IN 2016 - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings today says that China's steel production capacity is likely to peak in 2016, with capacity elimination over the nex ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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