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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 03 March 15
Q4' FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 2% LOWER COMPARED TO Q2 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 47.47
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose month on month and declined week over week.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 2.24 ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: Q2 UP 9.60%; Q3 UP 9.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 5 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 DELIVERY REACHED $ 57.50 PMT W/E 27 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.37 (+2.44%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.42 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
BORYEONG POWER PLANT OF KOMIPO TO IMPORT 140K OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 140,000 (70 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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