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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Thursday, 05 March 15
BUKIT ASAM BOOKED US$ 1 BILLION REVENUE IN 2014
COALspot.com: Indonesian publicly listed and state owned coal miner PT. Bukit Asam, has announced that, the revenue of the company for the period J ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
AN AGENDA FOR CHANGE - FITCH INDONESIA CONFERENCE
Fitch Indonesia Conference - 5 March 2015
Fitch Ratings will host its annual Indonesia conference on 5 March 2015.
The theme of this year ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
KEEP CALM AND INVEST IN DRY - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Keep Calm and Carry On was originally a motivational poster, intended to raise the morale of the British public, produced by the British government ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME TO DECLINE 50% BY 2019
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government is planning to reduce coal export volume by 50% within the next five years while keeping its coal productio ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal pric ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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