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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hi ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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